Bitcoin Returns Today

What Bitcoin did each day over the last two months, and what this calendar week has historically delivered — a seasonality matrix built from every year since 2013.

-0.11%
Latest Daily Return
2026-10-25
+3.63%
Avg Return, Week 43
all years since 2013
79%
Positive Years
share of years week 43 closed green
14
Years of History
weekly seasonality sample

Daily Returns — Last 60 Days

Green above the line, red below · % per day

6.5%3.3%0.0%3.3%6.5%16:00 UTC — Down days: 3.2%16:0016:00 UTC — Up days: 0.7%16:00 UTC — Down days: 0.7%16:00 UTC — Up days: 1.1%16:00 UTC — Down days: 1.4%16:00 UTC — Down days: 0.3%16:00 UTC — Up days: 5.3%16:00 UTC — Down days: 1.9%16:00 UTC — Up days: 0.2%16:00 UTC — Up days: 0.6%16:00 UTC — Down days: 1.6%16:00 UTC — Down days: 0.8%16:00 UTC — Down days: 0.3%16:00 UTC — Down days: 2.0%16:00 UTC — Up days: 0.7%16:00 UTC — Up days: 0.1%16:00 UTC — Down days: 0.6%16:00 UTC — Up days: 2.0%16:00 UTC — Down days: 3.4%16:00 UTC — Up days: 0.6%16:00 UTC — Up days: 0.4%16:00 UTC — Up days: 6.0%16:00 UTC — Up days: 0.4%16:00 UTC — Down days: 0.1%16:00 UTC — Up days: 6.5%16:00 UTC — Down days: 0.3%16:00 UTC — Down days: 2.0%16:00 UTC — Down days: 0.1%16:00 UTC — Down days: 0.4%16:00 UTC — Up days: 0.4%16:00 UTC — Up days: 0.0%16:0016:00 UTC — Down days: 1.0%16:00 UTC — Up days: 0.2%16:00 UTC — Down days: 0.1%16:00 UTC — Up days: 1.4%16:00 UTC — Down days: 0.3%16:00 UTC — Up days: 0.3%16:00 UTC — Up days: 2.1%16:00 UTC — Down days: 0.8%16:00 UTC — Down days: 0.4%16:00 UTC — Down days: 2.6%16:00 UTC — Down days: 1.9%16:00 UTC — Up days: 1.0%16:00 UTC — Up days: 0.5%16:00 UTC — Up days: 0.8%16:00 UTC — Down days: 2.2%16:00 UTC — Up days: 1.6%16:00 UTC — Down days: 2.0%16:00 UTC — Up days: 0.8%16:00 UTC — Down days: 0.7%16:00 UTC — Down days: 0.3%16:00 UTC — Up days: 0.8%16:00 UTC — Down days: 0.0%16:00 UTC — Up days: 1.2%16:00 UTC — Up days: 1.5%16:00 UTC — Down days: 3.5%16:00 UTC — Down days: 0.4%16:00 UTC — Down days: 0.3%16:00 UTC — Down days: 0.8%16:00 UTC — Down days: 0.1%16:00

Weekly Seasonality Matrix

BTC return by week of year · weeks 39–46 shown, current week 43 highlighted

YearW39W40W41W42W43W44W45W46
2026-3.1%+2.6%-4.3%-1.5%-3.6%———
2025+2.0%+9.5%-5.1%-2.4%+5.0%-5.7%+4.7%-10.7%
2024-1.7%+2.6%+6.4%+0.8%+3.6%-6.7%+27.8%+2.9%
2023+5.2%+0.6%+4.0%+15.9%+1.8%+1.1%+3.2%+5.4%
2022+2.8%-5.8%+2.7%+0.0%+2.0%+0.4%-10.2%-6.4%
2021+19.6%+11.1%+10.3%-2.0%+1.2%+7.2%-5.0%-6.5%
2020+2.0%-0.6%+9.0%+2.7%+9.7%-0.6%+9.4%+9.3%
2019-3.9%-1.1%+1.9%+0.6%+16.1%-0.1%-6.6%-6.9%
2018+2.3%+1.5%-2.2%-0.8%-2.1%+2.1%-1.9%-23.5%
2017+12.8%+10.9%+21.4%+5.3%+10.9%+8.7%-8.4%+25.4%
2016+1.2%+1.3%-0.6%+2.3%+6.6%-3.3%-0.9%+3.4%
2015+4.1%+1.5%-0.3%+5.5%+5.9%+23.4%-5.1%-2.0%
2014-14.9%-16.1%+17.5%-4.9%-9.1%-8.3%+10.9%+5.3%
2013+1.9%-2.9%+8.5%+27.1%+3.1%+11.9%+40.7%+85.5%

Seasonality is a base rate, not a forecast: it tells you how this week of the year has historically behaved, nothing more. Combine it with live positioning data such as funding rates and long/short ratios before drawing conclusions.

Methodology & Sources
Sources
Aggregated exchange market data (daily Bitcoin price history back to 2013).
Coverage
Bitcoin only: daily returns for the last 60 days and a week-of-year seasonality matrix covering every year since 2013.
Formulas
Daily returns are close-over-close percentage changes per UTC day. The seasonality matrix buckets BTC's return by week of year; the week stats average those values across all years and count the share of years the week closed positive.
Update frequency
Refreshes roughly every ten minutes; new daily and weekly data points land once per UTC day.
Units & timezone
All monetary values are USD. Timestamps and daily buckets use UTC. 24h windows are rolling unless stated otherwise.
Anomaly handling
Exchanges that stop reporting are dropped from aggregates rather than carried forward; obvious outliers (bad ticks, decimal errors) are filtered before aggregation.