Cycle & Macro Indicators
The dashboard for where we are in the cycle — sentiment, valuation models, the halving clock, dominance and Bitcoin's correlation with traditional markets.
Fear & Greed Index
Sentiment across volatility, momentum, volume and social signals
2026-10-27
0 = extreme fear · 100 = extreme greed
AHR999 Bitcoin Accumulation Index — 1 Year
Price relative to the 200-day cost basis and a growth model
Below 0.45: historically a bottom-buying zone. 0.45–1.2: dollar-cost-averaging zone. Above 1.2: historically expensive. Current reading: 0.493.
CBBI — Bitcoin Bull Run Index — 1 Year
Composite of nine on-chain and technical cycle metrics · 0–100
Readings near 100 have historically marked cycle tops; readings near 0, cycle bottoms. Current score: 54.4.
Bitcoin Halving Countdown
Epoch 4 · block 973,469
| Block | Date | New Reward |
|---|---|---|
| 210,000 | 2012-11-28 | 25 BTC |
| 420,000 | 2016-07-09 | 12.5 BTC |
| 630,000 | 2020-05-11 | 6.25 BTC |
| 840,000 | 2024-04-20 | 3.125 BTC |
Market Cap & BTC Dominance
Total crypto market cap $3.49T across 2,436 coins
BTC Correlation with Traditional Markets
30-day rolling correlation of daily returns
+1 means BTC moves with the asset, −1 means it moves opposite, 0 means no relationship. Values swing widely — Bitcoin is neither pure "digital gold" nor a pure risk asset. Current total market cap 3.49T USD, BTC dominance 46.5%.
Methodology & Sources
- Sources
- Aggregated market data, on-chain metrics, blockchain node data (halving) and public composite indicator series (Fear & Greed, AHR999, CBBI).
- Coverage
- Bitcoin-centric cycle indicators plus total crypto market capitalization, dominance and BTC's correlation with gold and the S&P 500.
- Formulas
- AHR999 combines price relative to the 200-day DCA cost basis with a long-term growth model; CBBI is a 0–100 composite of nine cycle metrics; correlations are 30-day rolling correlations of daily returns; dominance divides BTC market cap by total crypto market cap.
- Update frequency
- Refreshes roughly every five minutes; daily indicator series (AHR999, CBBI, correlations, dominance history) add one point per UTC day.
- Units & timezone
- All monetary values are USD. Timestamps and daily buckets use UTC. 24h windows are rolling unless stated otherwise.
- Anomaly handling
- Exchanges that stop reporting are dropped from aggregates rather than carried forward; obvious outliers (bad ticks, decimal errors) are filtered before aggregation.